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Market Comment - June '14

June 2014

Investing in shares may lose you all or some of your money. Past performance is no indication of future performance. Some of the shares recommended here may be small company shares, which can be relatively illiquid and hard to trade and this makes such shares more risky than other investments.

  • Epic Code:
  • Market C
You might recall that we previously identified the vulnerability of the US stock market based on three criteria - overvaluation, overconfidence and easy money. These don't tell us about the timing of a long overdue major correction, merely they confirm vulnerability. Nonetheless, once you work with this framework it does make it easier to see the cracks emerging. On over-valuation, you don't have to go far to sniff 1999 madness. On the takeover of WhatsApp it was valued at $350 million per employee doubtless they are each worth every penny. Take Tesla. It has sold only 27,000 cars since its 2010 birth, yet is valued at $31 billion. This is a greater market value than born-again General Motors, which sells 27,000 cars every day. ...

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With small companies there is an above average degree of risk compared to buying blue chips. Please be aware that we have not assessed the suitability of any of these investments for you. The newsletter simply states a personal view and diarises the editor’s investment decisions. Please speak to your stockbroker or other qualified individual to ascertain whether any of these companies mentioned would form useful additions to your own portfolios. Past performance is no indication of future success.

All material on this website is protected by copyright. You may use Information retrieved from the www.scsw.co.uk website for your own personal non-commercial use which means that you may not sell or copy this information to any third party without prior written consent. ISSN 1358-183X

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